Home » Bainamarama » Could this be Bainimarama’s plan?

Could this be Bainimarama’s plan?

With our ‘I’ for illegal PM in Beijing I suddenly had a flash of inspiration about the future of our doomed sugar industry.

FSC has been borrowing the money needed pay to cane farmers for their cane, even at the miserable price of $50 a tonne. At $80 a tonne this party is going to come to an end.

So what happens next? I had been wondering about the money paid out for land in Vanua Levu and plans for acquiring more in Viti Levu. Why would you do that if you knew the industry was doomed? Then suddenly the scales fell from my eyes.

On one of Bainimarama’s early trips to China he talked up the idea of Chinese investment in cassava for ethanol. This seemed to me to be just another piece of propaganda. Chinese would never invest in an ethanol plant based on cassava without huge tracts of land to go with it.

With this scenario the land acquired by FSC becomes a key asset for such an investment. Smallholder planters could supply some of the input to a big industrial ethanol plant, but no Chinese investor would want to rely on them. What they’d want is a ‘nucleus estate’ to provide the minimum input to keep an ethanol plant in business.

With a nucleus estate they could never face the threat of a strike from their input suppliers. (They don’t need to speak to the ghosts of the old CSR bosses to work this out.) They’d have their minimum input for plant viability and, with this, they could buy from their other suppliers at rock bottom prices because they’d have all the bargaining power.

Don’t expect ulukau Frank to work this out – all he’d worry about is the money upfront (for him). He’d never cotton on to the position it would put smallholder growers in. He’d think they have a market -what more could they want?

I might be imagining things, but one thing I’m sure of – at $80 a tonne FSC will go broke fast unless our mills suddenly start to produce a tonne of sugar with 8 tonnes of cane, and we know that’s not going to happen.

12 thoughts on “Could this be Bainimarama’s plan?

  1. Navosavakadua

    E kena I rairai ni o kemuni ga sa bakola vuku duadua e tiko ena gauna oqo. Na vei ka kece ga e sega se e sebera ni laurai ko ni sa wilika se raica rawa. Ko ni vei rulaki ena ulukau ka cavuta e so na vosa ni veibeci vei Ira eso na Turaga kei na Marama ka ra tutaka tiko na veiqaravi me da qaravi kina na lewe I Viti.

    Au kerei kemuni mo ni sa saga mada ki na Matanitu moni veivuke ka veiqaravi kina. De na rairai daumaka beka kina na toso ni Matanitu. Sa rauta mada na vosa ni veiduci, veivakacacani kei na cakacaka sega na betena ko ni cakava tiko.

    Vinaka saka.

  2. @ Kaunitoni

    The light will always be shone over darkness for the chosen ones to see the evil that only prevails for a short while. Take a lead from the book that says that the Spirit came to convict the world of guilt regarding judgment because the prince of this world already stands condemned. You might conlcude that Navosavakadua is a prophetic voice to the undiscerning Fiji citizens who have been abused and conned by the regime. This is how it will be for the innocent and vulnerable who will be guided by the wisdom of others to understand what is really happening to their lives. I should remind you that with the evil Bainimarama has brought on Fiji people and families, he indeed has sided with the prince of darkness bringing darkness to the lives of children, mothers, fathers and wives who grieve the loss of their loved ones. The grieving persists in the hearts of the people and blood of the innocent is still crying out! This is the score that is yet to be settled and only justice will do it. Cassava, ethnol, chinese loan or whatever cannot do this. The actions of Bainimarama and his band of thugs already stands condemned and we are merely journeying through moments when all else will come to pass……….tik…tok…tik…tok!!!

  3. World Bank commissioned a study on ethanol production in 2008. The study clearly showed that while ethanol production from molasses would be viable at todays oil prices of around US$ 100 per barrel, cassava based ethanol production is uneconomical in Fiji due to relatively high labour and land preparation cost.

  4. Jimmy Cassava Ah Koy and the Cassava Patch Sprint King obviously on the same wavelength. This is a big play for Frank to gain some more corrupt dollars and the planning is obviously taking time.

  5. In every game, there are strategies to apply. There is a time to attack the opposition aggressively and there is a time to retreat. When one retreats, there will lays be a time to regroup, assess the situation, plan for the next cause of action and fight back.

    Bais life was threatened. Had the CRW cowards succeeded in their Mission to kill and take-over the Military Camp, we wonder where and what these Human Rights, NGOs and Yabaki lackeys would be fighting for ?

    The path he took was an escape route taken to create that much needed space and time to retreat, regroup, assess, fight back and retake the Military Camp. That Mission was accomplished before dusk. Has any of you losers ever experienced being shot at with live bullets ? Arse Holes.

  6. Yes I have you boci. Didn’t run away like our Conmander did that day. Lamusona will always be lamusona.

  7. @ahoy

    Looks like someone gave you a god one right up your arse !! And you thoroughly enjoyed it !!

  8. franky seen going into niteclub at 2am the Monday he was flying off to china…plenty time to recover on the way…

  9. @Bul Bula. Has someone given you something Godly up your cici? Read your post, you vacucu at the camp army ball licker.

  10. @Kaunitoni

    OK name-calling doesn’t help – I withdraw the word ulukau.

    However, the word “illegal” is simply factual. An independent Appeal Court found that Bainimarama was not legally the Prime Minister.

    It is also factual that the illegal Government is borrowing money to make payments to cane farmers so the industry doesn’t collapse before the election. They were borrowing to pay $50 a tonne for cane and borrowing to pay $80 cannot be continued.

    So what will happen to the sugar industry if it depends on borrowing to pay cane farmers to stay in business?

    I can’t see the future – and I never implied I could – but there are facts in front of us which we should not ignore.

    You put your faith in a Government which claims it’s `moving” Fiji forward but the facts speak for themselves. As Minister for Sugar Bainimarama has watched half the industry’s output disappear. Is it unreasonable to think that the other half is not safe?

    @Nizam

    you are absolutely correct but it is Bainimarama who raised the prospect of cassava to ethanol. He said a few year ago that he was actively looking at a cassava to ethanol project.

    Chinese investors may be using lower input costs what they pay for labour and land) in calculating the cost of production. Detail like this might not have entered in Bainimarama’s thinking on the subject.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s